Brenner, L. A., Griffin, D. W., & Koehler, D. J. (in press). A case-based model of probability and pricing judgments: Biases in buying and selling uncertainty. Management Science.
James, G., & Koehler, D. J. (2011). Banking on a bad bet: Probability matching in risky choice is linked to expectation generation. Psychological Science, 22, 707-711.
Koehler, D. J., White, R. J., & John, L. K. (2011). Good intentions, optimistic self-predictions, and missed opportunities. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 2, 90-96.
Koehler, D. J., & James, G. (2010). Probability matching and strategy availability. Memory & Cognition, 38, 667-676.
Moher, E., & Koehler, D. J. (2010). Bracketing effects on risk tolerance: Generalizability and underlying mechanisms. Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 339-346.
Koehler, D. J., & James, G. (2009). Probability matching in choice under uncertainty: Intuition versus deliberation. Cognition, 113, 123-127.
Poon, C.
S. K., & Koehler, D. J. (2008). Person theories: Their temporal stability and relation to intertrait inferences. Personality and
Social Psychology Bulletin, 34, 965-977.
Åstebro,
T., & Koehler, D. J. (2007). Calibration
accuracy of a judgmental process that predicts the commercial success
of new product ideas. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 20, 381-403.
White,
C. M., & Koehler, D. J. (2007). Choice
strategies in multiple-cue probability learning. Journal of Experimental
Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 33, 757-768.
Koehler,
D. J., & Poon, C. S. K. (2006). Self-predictions
overweight strength of current intentions. Journal of Experimental
Social Psychology, 42, 517-524.
Koehler,
D. J., & Beauregard, T. A. (2006). Illusion
of confirmation from exposure to another's hypothesis. Journal
of Behavioral Decision Making, 19, 61-78.
Poon, C.
S. K., & Koehler, D. J. (2006). Lay
personality knowledge and dispositionist thinking: A knowledge-activation
framework. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 42, 177-191.
Brenner,
L., Griffin, D., & Koehler, D. J. (2005). Modeling
patterns of probability calibration with Random Support Theory: Diagnosing
case-based judgment. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision
Processes, 97, 64-81.
LaBella,
C., & Koehler, D. J. (2004). Dilution
and confirmation of probability judgments based on nondiagnostic evidence.
Memory & Cognition, 32, 1076-1089.
White,
C. M., & Koehler, D. J. (2004). Missing
information in multiple-cue probability learning. Memory &
Cognition, 32, 1007-1018.
Koehler,
D. J., White, C. M., & Grondin, R. (2003). An
evidential support accumulation model of subjective probability.
Cognitive Psychology, 46, 152-197.
King, R.
N., & Koehler, D. J. (2000). Illusory
correlations in graphological inference. Journal of Experimental
Psychology: Applied, 6, 336-348.
Newby-Clark,
I. R., Ross, M., Buehler, R., Koehler, D. J., & Griffin, D. (2000).
People focus on optimistic and ignore
pessimistic scenarios while predicting their task completion times.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 6, 171-182.
Koehler,
D. J. (2000). Probability judgment
in three-category classification learning. Journal of Experimental
Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 26, 28-52.
Brenner,
L. A., & Koehler, D. J. (1999). Subjective
probability of disjunctive hypotheses: Local-weight models for decomposition
of evidential support. Cognitive Psychology, 38, 16-47.
Koehler,
D. J., Brenner, L. A., & Tversky, A. (1997). The
enhancement effect in probability judgment. Journal of Behavioral
Decision Making, 10, 293-313.
Harvey,
N., Koehler, D. J., & Ayton, P. (1997). Judgments
of decision effectiveness: Actor-observer differences in overconfidence.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 70, 267-282.
Koehler,
D. J., & Harvey, N. (1997). Confidence
judgments by actors and observers. Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 10, 221-242.
Koehler,
D. J., Brenner, L. A., Liberman, V., & Tversky, A. (1996). Confidence
and accuracy in trait inference: Judgment by similarity. Acta
Psychologica, 92, 33-57.
Koehler,
D. J. (1996). A strength model of probability
judgments for tournaments. Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, 66, 16-21.
Brenner,
L. A., Koehler, D. J., & Tversky, A. (1996). On
the evaluation of one-sided evidence. Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 9, 59-70.
Brenner,
L. A., Koehler, D. J., Liberman, V., & Tversky, A. (1996). Overconfidence
in probability and frequency judgments: A critical examination.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 212-219.
Redelmeier,
D., Koehler, D. J., Liberman, V., & Tversky, A. (1995). Probability
judgment in medicine: Discounting unspecified alternatives. Medical
Decision Making, 15, 227-230.
Tversky,
A., & Koehler, D. J. (1994). Support
theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.
Psychological Review, 101, 547-567.
Koehler,
D. J. (1994). Hypothesis generation
and confidence in judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology:
Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 20, 461-469.
Gidron,
D., Koehler, D. J., & Tversky, A. (1993). Implicit
quantification of personality traits. Personality and Social
Psychology Bulletin, 19, 594-604.
Koehler,
D. J. (1991). Explanation, imagination,
and confidence in judgment. Psychological Bulletin, 110,
499-519.